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Goldman Sachs: We estimate that if the price of Brent crude oil falls to the range of more than $50/barrel by the end of 2025, the growth rate of shale oil supply in the United States will fall below 100,000 barrels per day in 2025, which in turn will push the price of Brent crude oil up by $8 per barrel in 2025.Trump: The money saved by automation is far less than the pain, injury and loss it has caused to American workers.From the United States to the week of December 5, foreign central banks held US Treasury bonds of-203 million US dollars, with the previous value of-6.157 billion US dollars.

Turkish President Erdogan told US Secretary of State Blinken that Turkey will not allow any weakness in the fight against the Syrian Islamic State.Fang Yi, Chief Strategy Officer of Guotai Junan: The conditions of "transformation cattle" in China stock market are forming four themes, focusing on mergers and acquisitions and self-control. Fang Yi, Chief Analyst of Guotai Junan Strategy, said at the main forum of Guotai Junan 2025 investment strategy that the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions of "transformation cattle" are forming; The key driving force of the market comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference, and the economic expectation is expected to be revised up in 2025H2; The mid-line of the stock market is expected to get out of the N-rhythm. Theme recommendation: merger and reorganization/self-control/humanoid robot/self-consumption. 1) M&A and reorganization: the regulatory tolerance of cross-border M&A and acquisition of unprofitable assets has been improved, and we are optimistic about the traditional industry leaders who are the main enterprises of science and technology chain and benefit from the optimization of industry structure; 2) Self-control: global science and technology supply chain reconstruction, optimistic about the improvement of localization rate of advanced semiconductors/basic software; 3) Humanoid robot: mass production and application scenario expansion are accelerated, and key components such as dexterous hands/actuators are optimistic; 4) Self-satisfaction consumption: demographic changes have given birth to new consumption patterns, and we are optimistic about the high growth of secondary consumption/pet consumption.Fitch: It is estimated that the sales growth rate of food, beverage, tobacco and consumer goods will be low in single digits in 2025.

Top 20 US stock turnover on December 12: Adobe's poor performance led to a sharp drop of 13.7%. On Thursday, Adobe, the fourth US stock turnover, closed down 13.69%, the biggest one-day drop in two years, with a turnover of 8.32 billion US dollars. The company's performance guidance fell short of market expectations, which aggravated investors' concerns that the creative software giant might be subverted by emerging artificial intelligence (AI) startups. The company expects revenue of $23.4 billion in fiscal year 2025, which is less than the $23.8 billion expected by analysts; Earnings per share are expected to be $20.20-$20.50, which is less than the analyst's expectation of $20.52. After Adobe announced its financial report and performance forecast, Bank of America Securities lowered its target price from $640 to $605, and Jefferies lowered its target price from $700 to $650. (Global Market Broadcast)Jilin Province promotes the high-quality development of ice and snow economy and cultivates a number of well-known brands and leading enterprises. The Standing Committee of Jilin Provincial Party Committee recently deliberated and adopted the "Implementation Opinions on Promoting the High-quality Development of Ice and Snow Economy in Jilin Province". According to the "Implementation Opinions", by the snow season of 2027-2028, the number of ice and snow tourists will reach 230 million, and the total spending of ice and snow tourists will reach 420 billion yuan. By 2030, ice and snow tourism will receive 300 million people, the total cost of ice and snow tourism will reach 540 billion yuan, and the total output value of ice and snow equipment manufacturing industry will exceed 5 billion yuan. Jilin Province will strive to declare 1-2 national ski resorts, and operate no less than 100 characteristic ice and snow parks every year to build high-quality ice and snow tourist destinations. Vigorously develop famous cities, towns and villages in ice and snow, and cultivate a number of well-known brands and leading enterprises in the field of ice and snow. (Securities Times)Top 20 US stock turnover on December 12: Adobe's poor performance led to a sharp drop of 13.7%. On Thursday, Adobe, the fourth US stock turnover, closed down 13.69%, the biggest one-day drop in two years, with a turnover of 8.32 billion US dollars. The company's performance guidance fell short of market expectations, which aggravated investors' concerns that the creative software giant might be subverted by emerging artificial intelligence (AI) startups. The company expects revenue of $23.4 billion in fiscal year 2025, which is less than the $23.8 billion expected by analysts; Earnings per share are expected to be $20.20-$20.50, which is less than the analyst's expectation of $20.52. After Adobe announced its financial report and performance forecast, Bank of America Securities lowered its target price from $640 to $605, and Jefferies lowered its target price from $700 to $650. (Global Market Broadcast)